Share

We hope that you all are finding ways to enjoy the summer months. The state of Minnesota is finally back to work, but we continue to wait on the folks in Washington to address the issues surrounding the debt ceiling. Below, we have provided several links to recent articles, blogs and a short video that we hope you will find informative and timely. For the full article, simply click on the title below.


5 Consequences If America Doesn’t Raise the Debt Ceiling (Yahoo Finance video – David Walker)
 
David Walker is the former Comptroller General of the United States and head of the Government Accountability Office. Here's what he says will happen if the federal government can't reach a deal (video on weblink above):

          - $4 billion-plus a day will come out of the economy.

          - Government and civilian military workers will be laid off temporarily. That will result in penalties for late payment, to be paid by taxpayers.

          - Social security payments will be delayed.

          - No one knows how bad the reaction will be, but Walker is confident it will be negative for the stock and bond markets and the economy.

          - Interest rates will rise. For every 1% rise in interest rates, taxpayers will be on the hook for an additional $150 billion in debt payments.


Want Happiness? Don’t Buy More Stuff – Go on Vacation (Gary Belsky & Tom Gilovich)
 
 
“…for most of us, money is just a token for what we can do with it — pay the mortgage or rent, send kids to college, buy a TV or travel to Italy. And for nearly all of us, money is finite; there isn’t enough to do all we want, so we must be selective. That raises a crucial question: If we want to maximize the happiness or satisfaction we get from our money, how should we spend it?”

Read more...

Share
The IFS July 2011 Client Newsletter is available for download on our website at http://ifs-advisor.com/images/stories/Quarterly_Letter_July_2011.pdf
Share

 

american-flag-fireworksThe second president of the United States, John Adams, made a prediction years ago in a letter to his wife:

 

“The second day of July, 1776, will be the most memorable epoch in the history of America. I am apt to believe that it will be celebrated by succeeding generations as the great anniversary festival…It ought to be solemnized with pomp and parade, with shows, games, sports, guns, bonfires and illuminations, from one end of this continent to the other, from this time forward forever more.”

 

Make no mistake about it, John Adams painted an incredibly accurate picture of what was to come! This past month, a mere 235 years later, our nation celebrated its great anniversary festival by hosting parties, parades and fireworks with our neighbors, family and friends.

 

But depending on your viewpoint, one could also argue that John Adams was wrong. After all, we celebrate our nation’s independence on the fourth of July, not the second!

Read more...

Share

“The intelligent investor must focus not just on getting the analysis right. You must also ensure against loss if your analysis turns out to be wrong - as even the best analyses will be at least some of the time. The probability of making at least one mistake at some point in your investing lifetime is virtually 100%, and those odds are entirely out of your control. However, you do have control over the consequences of being wrong.” – Jason Zweig, Wall Street Journal columnist and author, Your Money and Your Brain.

Over the last several years, we are experiencing record foreclosures on homes across the country. One could argue (and very convincingly, I might add) that lenders should have never allowed people to obtain the mortgages they did leading up to this mess. However, home buyers are every bit as responsible for choosing to acquire a nearly fully leveraged asset (and more importantly, a liability) that provided no “margin of safety” in their financial life.

The conclusion these folks arrived at – that they could afford these homes (and second homes, and third homes) – was undeniably based on a wide range of assumptions. To name a few, these assumptions included (a) home prices will always increase, (b) tax rates will remain the same, (c) they will not lose their job or have to take a pay cut, and (d) that they will not experience any unexpected or “surprise” expenses like medical costs, home or car repairs, (e) cash flow will always be sufficient to meet obligations, etc. With no margin of safety in place to buffer against even one of these assumptions being incorrect, many people were caught sitting far out on an extended tree limb and had no chance of hanging on against the storm that quickly formed on the horizon.

Read more...

Share

 

Before jumping into some implications of the second round of Quantitative Easing (QE2) that you have likely been hearing about, we wanted to point out a quick planning note. If you did not take advantage of the historically low mortgage rates this winter by refinancing at that time, rates have recently dropped again to the lowest levels this year. If you would like to take another look at pursuing a refinance, please let us know and we would be happy to discuss with you, work with your existing lender to figure out your options, and / or introduce you to one of our mortgage resources.

 

The following article discusses the implications of QE2 ending. Due to the nature of the subject, we realize that the content may be a bit lengthy and heavy for some of you. If that is the case, we close with some brief thoughts, so you may want to skip ahead. For those of you who follow the economy closely, however, we wanted to be sure to provide some insight as the program draws to a close.QE2_Cartoon

 

President Obama's speech on Afghanistan collected most of the headlines last week, but Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's press conference the same evening was, economically speaking, every bit as interesting. Among other things, Bernanke made it clear that the Fed was ending a widely-publicized initiative known as QE2, more formally referred to as the second round of quantitative easing by the U.S. Central Bank.

 

Some of you may have read dire headlines telling us that without QE2 - or a new QE3 - the economic recovery will stop in its tracks and the stock market will go into a tailspin. Elsewhere, you may have heard grumbling that QE2 has set the stage for bouts of future inflation.

 

People should feel free to panic if they want to, but let's take a moment to step back and really understand what they're panicking about. 

Read more...

Making Sense out of Nonsense

Let's get acquainted!

We offer a complimentary "Get Acquainted" meeting to describe our services, and to see if our services are right for you.

Contact Us...